Okay, let’s start to look past Tuesday… What happens after the primaries?
I’ll give you my opinion and then open it up for discussion as to what you think happens.
First, the Republicans. If Ralph Reed is somehow able to push turnout so low that he is able to squeak out a victory, I personally think the GOP has a serious anchor going into the fall elections. I don’t know how the Governor is able to run with Reed on the ticket. I don’t know how honest people can cast a vote for Ralph Reed. If Cagle wins, he’s well positioned to unite the GOP and be an asset to the Governor and the entire Republican team. This race has been rather negative and now I’m hearing rumors of threats to Cagle supporters from Reed people.
Further down the ballot, I feel the same about the race for Secretary of State. Karen Handel is by far the better qualified candidate and a boost rather than a draw down on the Republican team.
In the Agriculture Commissioner’s race, while I’m solidly behind Kemp, I don’t know if the dynamics are as volatile as they are in the other races. I think that Kemp has the better chance to beat Irvin in the fall.
Now the Democrats. I’m not sure who will pull out a win in any of these races. Democrats though have always been better than Republicans in uniting behind the victor. I’m sure that every Democrat running though is hoping for a Reed win. I think whether it’s Cathy or Mark, a Reed win on the GOP side ads 10-15 points to the Democratic nominee.
As for the Lt. Governor’s race, there again, I think it depends on who Republican nominate. Jim Martin is by far the better qualified and more sincere Democratic candidate, but will that translate into a win?
In terms of there efforts in the Secretary of State’s race, while some have seen movement in this race, I think Sham Reddy (may have misspelled) looks strong.
Again, I think for the Democrats, they will be reacting to who the Republican nominate. If you put Reed on the Republican team, with the baggage that he has and the possibilities of ongoing investigations into his business dealings, Democrats will have an edge.
Those are just my thoughts… What say you?