Red Alert for the Reed Campaign

For the first time ever, Strategic Vision has Casey Cagle ahead of Ralph Reed — by one point. Taylor leads Cox 48-42%.

46 comments

  1. BahamaBoy says:

    From Strategic Vision’s newest poll:

    If the Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, whom would you vote for Ralph Reed or Casey Cagle? (Republicans only)
    Casey Cagle 42%
    Ralph Reed 41%
    Undecided 17%

    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ralph Reed? (Republicans only)
    Favorable 36%
    Unfavorable 49%
    Undecided 15%

    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Cagle? (Republicans only)
    Favorable 43%
    Unfavorable 36%
    Undecided 21%

  2. 4ofspades says:

    So a dog fight. The interesting part is the fav/ufav on both sides. Ralphs looking better, but Casey’s unfav’s are growing

  3. GrandOleDawg says:

    I’m thinking Ralph’s new ad should help stop the bleeding somewhat. Nevertheless…this is a scorcher.

  4. John Galt says:

    49% unfav for Reed vs. 43% fav for Cagle looks fairly insurmountable. Throughout this race it seems that outside of a relative handful of party and CC activists, Reed doesn’t have a natural base he can count on. He doesn’t really even have a safe geographic base he can count on to deliver votes. Every day this race goes on, the worse it gets statistically for Reed.

  5. nfire says:

    Expect REALLY nasty stuff from their side of the table in the next few days. He’ll be desperate.

  6. BahamaBoy says:

    There’s little doubt that the negative ads from Cagle have increased his unfavorables. That’s the price he had to pay to get the message out to the voters. But on Reed’s side, nearly half of the Republicans questioned had an unfavorable rating of him (49 percent), up from 47 percent two weeks ago. Cagle, on the other hand, went up to 36 percent from a low 20 percent unfavorable. That’s nearly double, and getting dangerously close to Reed’s 49 percent.

    Clearly, this slugfest has damaged both candidates in the eyes of Republican voters who go to the polls in one week to vote for real. At the rate its going, both Reed and Cagle may be so battered and bruised that Georgia voters elect a Democrat — any Democrat — to fill the Lieutenant Governor’s position in November. Wouldn’t that be ironic?

  7. landman says:

    nfire,you mean like doing a pushpoll and calling Cagle a athiest?I cant wait for the 18th to get here so we can be rid of Reed and his tactics,this is really deplorable,I hope you Reed Stargazers are real proud of your guy.

  8. GOPeach says:

    Reed does have a base he can depend on. Many of those
    people will be at the polls on Thurday, Wednesday Night
    Church Services are reminded their people to vote early!

    I just got a memo from my Church to vote this week.
    It takes a few days to get on the radar. If the Reed
    people see they are close to Casey, they will find
    the gas pedal. I know these people. They got Ronald
    Reagan elected and Sonny Perdue. These are the Reed
    loyals like me.

    C’mon all you undecideds. Go Vote! Stop waiting for
    to see a burning bush. Just go vote for the candidate
    that you most identify with. You know who will take
    this state to the next level. No more business as
    usual. It’s time new blood!

  9. BahamaBoy says:

    “You know who will take this state to the next level?”

    Yeah, like into the basement!

  10. Chris says:

    Bahama, I don’t think the philosophical demographics of this state will put any of the Dems I saw in the debate last Sunday in the LG’s seat. Whomever wins, Casey or Reed, they will be the next LG.

    Sonny’s position isn’t anywhere near secure if Cox get the nod.

    (and as I’ve said before, I think Reed’s presence on the ballot will hurt Sonny with moderates).

  11. John Galt says:

    GOPeach,
    Reed supporters got Ronald Reagan elected? Seems to me that Georgia went for Jimmy Carter. You know, that whole Electoral College thing? Are William Casey, James Baker, Lee Atwater, Ed Meese and Lyn Nofziger on the Reed payroll?

  12. Bull Moose says:

    I don’t know a single sole that can’t wait for this race to be over. I say that with all sincerity.

    It’s sad that a desperate candidate like Ralph Reed went and completely MADE UP personal issues to run against Casey on so that he wouldn’t have to talk about the issues, especially the issue of his own character.

    First it was the eminent domain issue. Well, the Georgia Association of Realtors have come out and endorsed Casey Cagle for Lt. Governor. They know that Casey has worked hard to protect eminent domain.

    Then it was the banking issue. We have a citizen legislature and yes, as most people want, we have people that are involved in a particular industry serving on those committees. But Casey always recused himself if the vote affected his bank individually — a community bank.

    Finally, stupid Ralph attacks Casey for paying independent contractors as just that, independent contractors.

    On all three, there are no issues – it’s just desperate Ralph trying to distract voters from his own ethical shortcomings.

    So, come on Georgia voters, cast your vote for Casey and be done with this politics of personal destruction that Ralph Reed so embodies.

    Can you imagine what the Democrats will do with Ralph Reed tied next to Sonny? Say goodbye to the Governor’s mansion if that happens.

    And note to Sonny’s staff that reads this… Tell your Chatham County Chairperson she better back off her support for Ralph or it’s going to cost you votes…

  13. Chris says:

    Bull, Casey worked hard to protect property rights against eminent domain. 🙂

    I honestly think that most of Casey’s unfavorables are due to voter fatigue regarding his attacks on Abramoff and not on any of the silly crap Reed’s campaign has tried to stick on him.

    Amen on this race being over. Then we can focus on somthing truely productive: Relecting Sonny Perdue!

  14. Maurice Atkinson says:

    This race is firming up and the ads have had definite impact. I know what I am saying is anecdotal, however, it is happening. I’ve received calls from individuals and been approached by people who are asking questions. The Island issue hurts. It’s one thing to broker for bucks over casino bucks but totally another to broker for human lives. It’s documented and slimy.

    Mainstream Republicans have been frustrated with our leadership regarding labor. Many feel they’ve been betrayed over the outsourcing of American jobs overseas and the misplacement of manufacturing workers. Ralph’s island adventure is causing many to question the blind faith they have given Ralph and others.

    This ties into what I heard from a respected RNC pollster in May. Until we develop a solid conservative agenda that the base can relate to and accept, we’re going to have problems. The trends have been constant for more than a year and there is not one issue our party has seized, on the federal level that resonates with the base.

    What is positive about Casey, his team has been meticulous at documentation. These are not baseless allegations. Ralph’s allegations are proving to be baseless and shameful manipulation of the facts.

  15. SOUTHERNCOMFORT says:

    YOU CLOWNS ARE SOMETHING… AFTER YOU ALL GO TO CHURCH AND PRAY FOR OLE RALPHIE WHY DON’T YOU HIT A COUPLE OF INDIAN CASINOS AND DO A RAIN DANCE AS WELL…AND BY THE WAY I WILL USE THE CAPS KEY UNTIL THE 19TH SINCE IT ANNOYS YOU PATSIES AS MUCH AS YOU ALL HAVE ANNOYED US WITH YOUR DRIBBLE….HAHAHAHA GET YOU SOME KOOLAIDERS!!! I LOVE IT WHEN A PLAN COMES TOGETHER!!!

  16. gsublh says:

    I’ve been checking out this site for a good while and keep up with Georgia politics for the past 15 years…so those are my lame creds I guess, Towery runs a good poll and as a Reed supporter I am somewhat taken aback by that. To me though, Cagle comes off as dead weight, I dont really know him, just that he’s not Reed and a voter needs something more than that.Ask John Kerry.
    This website is pretty much a shill for Cagle,so in the event Reed does win, will y’all pull for Martin and Hecht?
    Cagle just doesnt come off as a leader to me (most will disagree with that) but I dont see him as a future govenor of this great,growing, and powerhouse Southern state compared to Reed.
    Didnt Cagle get into a political dogfight with Johnson or Stephens a few years back and came out as the loser? Is this why he decided to give up his Senate seat and run for Lt. Gov.?
    My prediction is Reed 53% to Cagle’s 47%.

  17. Bull Moose says:

    I meant to say that Casey protected private property rights… Sorry about that. I think everyone knew what I meant though.

    The Georgia Association of Realtors are supporting and have endorsed Casey Cagle because he has stood strong with property owners over protecting their rights!

    Go Casey Go!

  18. HSC Republican says:

    I see many similarties between Reed and the Titanic. It was going to be the ship that could not sink…..it is now at the bottom of the ocean! Reed was a shoe in to be the next Lt. Gov…….well we know the ending here! ICEBERG DEAD AHEAD!

  19. Bill Simon says:

    Again, I say the margin of victory will be 52% Casey to 48% Reed. Not a landslide, but a repeat of the 2004 primary win by Johnny Isakson.

    48% is the maximum for the freakozoid Republicans in a primary. Even with the switchers of Herman Cain supporters to Casey Cagle supporters, the same number of Isakson supporters have gone to Reed (for WHATEVER flippin’ reason) and the balance will be maintained in the final outcome.

    52% Normal, Thinking Republicans to 48% Wrongoids.

  20. debbie0040 says:

    I still say Reed wil wim by 15 %. The week is far from over. I disagree about either Cagle or Reed winning in November. There are a lot of angry Reed supporters out there and nothing will appease them before November. They say there are prepared to sacrifice…

  21. Chris says:

    Debbie:
    “There are a lot of angry Reed supporters out there and nothing will appease them before November. They say there are prepared to sacrifice…”

    Care to elaborate, or should we fill in our own finish, like Mad Libs!

    They say there are prepared to sacrifice… Sonny’s relection by voting for Mark Taylor

    They say there are prepared to sacrifice… The LG seat by voting for Hecht

    They say there are prepared to sacrifice… Our Congressional Majority by voting for the democrats?

    They say there are prepared to sacrifice… themselves in traffic? 🙂

    (who was it a few weeks back who pointed out that primaries bring out the worst in us?)

  22. SOUTHERNCOMFORT says:

    DEBBIE YOU NEED TO GET A LIFE YOU, WE WILL WIN TUESDAY AND IN NOVEMBER YOU REEDITES ARE THE MOST ARROGANT IGNORANT BLOCK I HAVE EVER SEEN. THE PARTY WANTS A LEADER AND DEBBIE YOUR GUY IS NO LEADER…

  23. Ouch…

    Reed Tries to Buy Election With Lobbyist Fees
    7/11/2006 4:38:00 PM

    WASHINGTON, July 11 /U.S. Newswire/ — Today Campaign Money Watch questioned Ralph Reed about where the $500,000 he loaned his campaign for lieutenant governor of Georgia came from.

    According to Campaign Money Watch, Reed made millions of dollars as a lobbyist for American Indian casinos and the Northern Marianas Islands, where employers forced female employees to become prostitutes and to have abortions if they became pregnant. He used Christian organizations as front groups for his lobbying activity paid for by disgraced, convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff and his clients.

    “Ralph Reed spun his relationships with Christian organizations into personal gold by using them as fronts for convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff’s sleazy clients,” said David Donnelly, director of Campaign Money Watch. “Now he’s taken that money to try to buy the election. Campaign Money Watch will tell voters exactly where he got it: Lobbying against legislation that would have protected female workers from being forced to have abortions and to become prostitutes.”

    Click below to read the rest

    http://releases.usnewswire.com/GetRelease.asp?id=69056

  24. debbie0040 says:

    Chris, i can just repeat what I hear. I believe they were referring to sitting out in November . I totally disagree with that for the record. Sitting out is a vote for the Democrat. Voting for McBerry is a vote for the Democrats.

    There is intense anger out there now. I have not seen anything like that since the State Flag was changed by Barnes…

  25. Philly says:

    Debbie, Chris, I am one of those that are angry. I am disgusted by the way the State Senators and GOP elected officials have treated Ralph. They used Reed and Christians to help them get elected and then they turn on Ralph and us.

    If Cagle wins, I will vote Democrat. Let the GOP see how many elections they will win without the Christian Conservative Vote. The GOP have begun to take the Christian Conservative vote for granted as the Democrats have done the African American vote. They think we have no where to go, but they are wrong!!!

  26. Bill B. says:

    Believe whatever polls you want, the real poll will be taken in less than a week. I was glad to see that a Cagle staffer/supporter/poster FINALLY acknowledged that Cagle has been running negative ads. That’s all he’s done.

    No vision…no plan…no ideas.

    Ralph Reed is the ONLY candidate in this race with a plan for a better Georgia.

    I’m proud of the positive campaign Ralph has run and it has clearly shown him to be very different that his negative, ethics challenged opponent.

  27. HSC Republican says:

    Philly,
    Just like the Bill said “Who else are you going to vote for?” Will you really sit the election out and allow pro choice, pro gay marriage, and all the other “major” issues facing the state? I do not thinks so!

  28. BahamaBoy says:

    Too bad the losers in this race are already saying they will (a) sit out the November election or (b) vote for the Democrat. Shows their true colors.

    Face it: this is the worse week in Ralph Reed’s life. Everywhere you look, the walls are coming down. Someone even suggested his campaign is like the Titanic going down to the ocean’s bottom. An apt comparison, because when this is all over Century Strategies will probably have to fold up operations and Ralph will move back to Miami. Georgia’s voters have now been exposed to the “real” Ralph, and they plan to reject him at the ballot box next Tuesday.

  29. Philly,

    Ralph is being treated like he has treated the people that have worked with him in the past.

    That is why there are so many elected officials, county chairs, party people, active volunteers, and christian conservatives working against him.

    Casey Cagle gives respect to the people that work with him and does not threaten those who do not. Ralph’s lake of respect for the people in the party is what will lead to his demise.

  30. Bill Simon says:

    Every new round of phone calls to voters that claims Casey is an Atheist/Satan Worshipper will add 1-2% more points to Casey’s win.

    Same thing happened in 2002 with Barr vs. Linder. The nuttier the Barr-Nuts’ antics became, the more people got pissed-off and went out to make a statement.

    BY the way, you folks know who was behind the scenes helping Barr, right? Ralphie Poo Reed.

  31. Debbie, why would you think that Reed will win by 15% if they are in a dead heat right now?” What could possibly happen in the next 5 days that would create such a swing? That’s just crazy talk.

  32. Bill B. says:

    That’s why Ralph will win Bill. He’s not doing the lying push poll calls and Cagle is. It’s going to hurt Cagle and help Ralph!

  33. nfire says:

    Bill B! What are you talking about? You can’t just deny reality! What about the atheist phone calls?

  34. SOUTHERNCOMFORT says:

    “I AM MAD AND I’M NOT TAKING THIS ANYMORE. I’M GOING TO TAKE MY TOYS AND GO HOME (MIAMI)” OVERHEARD AT CAMP REED MORNING PRAYER BREAKFAST.

  35. debbie0040 says:

    I don’t think the latest poll is accurate.

    “On the Strategic Vision Poll, I didn’t realize it was conducted on a Friday through Sunday. I don’t believe polls that are taken during that time. It’s too hard to get a good cross section of people over the weekend — especially the weekend after the 4th when a lot of people are returning home. ”

    I still think Reed will win by 15 % maybe 10% minimum This week is far from over.

    What did the polls show in the Barnes-Perdue race?

  36. SOUTHERNCOMFORT says:

    PASS THE DOOBIE DEBBIE YOU HAVE HAD ENOUGH… IT IS SO FUNNY TO WATCH YOU BIBLETHUMPING DOGOODERS SQUIRM..THERE IS A GOD! THIS IS TOO MUCH FUN!!!!!!

  37. debbie0040 says:

    The victory party will be with Reed. How are you going to handle losing SouthernComfort?

    No one is squirming. I feel quite happy with what I have heard out in the different counties.

    Me think you doth protest too much…

  38. SOUTHERNCOMFORT says:

    Gloating Debbie not protesting, this has been a long time coming… that said I do admire your loyalty though misguided.

  39. BahamaBoy says:

    Debbie keeps up the Reed denial that he did anything wrong in receiving the Indian money through third party conduits, so I did a little digging.

    From pages 26-27 of the Senate report on Abramoff’s bilking of Indian tribes:

    On a similar project in early 2000, Reed and Abramoff discussed using four groups instead of one as conduits to pay Reed: NCPPR, ATR, Toward Tradition and one unidentified group. Abramoff later advised Reed that “Rabbi Lapin [head of Toward Tradition] does not have a c4

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