As Jeff notes, Perdue et al expect McBerry to get about 12% of the primary vote. I wouldn’t peg the genuine flaggers at more than 4-6% of the vote in the Republican primary. If you agree with me on that, can we reasonably extrapolate that a large percentage of what McBerry will get is a vote to register a complaint about the governor?
I was talking with a friend about this earlier and he said he’s felt for a while that Perdue’s problems do not stem from a problem with the electorate as a whole, but rather disenchantment in the base. If McBerry does get 12% of the vote, I think that’s probably true and I wonder if it could bite the governor in a closely fought general election.