Thoughts on the Poll

by Erick on June 28, 2006

I have a few thoughts on the Strategic Vision Poll.

First thought is that the sample number and margin of error makes this a solid poll. Strategic Vision also rotates names so the sample is improved.

This poll follows in the same trend we’ve seen. Casey has yet to be ahead of Ralph, but he keeps inching closer. Ralph’s unfavorables far outweigh his favorables, but Casey has a very high undecided number.

Interestingly, Saxby is only at 50% favorable with Isakson ahead of him. Perdue looks good as do Taylor and Cox, with Taylor having a small edge over Cox. What I find very interesting is that Perdue is doing better against Cox than Taylor in this poll — something that flies in the face of conventional wisdom.

As it shapes up right now, I think Perdue is solid and Taylor probably is too. I’d give the edge to Ralph — with 15% undecided, he needs less than Cagle to get over 50%. However, while I think he has an edge, it is a damn small edge. Let’s face it — Reed is a known quantity and Cagle is not. A heck of a lot of the undecideds will probably jump to Cagle, given the high unfavorables for Ralph.

While Ralph has the edge, he clings to it by his fingernails. The next few weeks should be very, very interesting.

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Swing State Project
June 29, 2006 at 1:57 am

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debbie0040 June 29, 2006 at 10:47 am

I disagree with their stance but I support Bush-Cheney but using you logic with the Reed ad if Cagle criticizes Reed for that stance, he is also criticizing Bush Cheney

jsm June 29, 2006 at 11:07 am

Cagle will get conservative votes for parting with Bush-Cheney on that. It would be different if he criticized something that ALL the GOP congressmen support. Apples and oranges.

HSC Republican June 29, 2006 at 11:17 am

I am glad someone is telling Bush that he is wrong on immigration. Also are you saying Ralph is nothing but a mouth peice for Bush?

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 11:22 am

This post began about poll numbers and trends. The latest poll shows Ralph ahead. Actually all polls have shown Ralph ahead except for one released by Cagle. It showed Cagle leading by 6 points. (Go to Cagle’s website for the press release)

Sooo, has Cagle lost ground since May 24th?

OR

Was the poll and press release a LIE or FABRICATION?

It’s one or the other!

SOUTHERNCOMFORT June 29, 2006 at 11:36 am

DEBBIE, I ALSO SUPPORT THE ANTI GAY MARRIAGE AMENDMENT BUT EVERYTIME SOMEONE ENDORSES CC YOU YELL GAY… I BET 10 TO 1 RALPHIE BOY WILL NOT GO ON THE FACTOR HE’S TO MUCH OF A WUSS ORIELLY WILL EAT HIM ALIVE WITH THE FACTS, AND AS WE ALL KNOW THAT IS SOMETHING RALPHIE IS NOT GOOD AT.

debbie0040 June 29, 2006 at 12:35 pm

I am saying that Reed has taken a very strong stad against illegal immigration, and amnesty. He was representing the Bush-Cheney Campaign in 2004 and yes he was representing their views not his.

I repeat again, I look forward to the O’Reilly interview. Reed is not a wuss like Cave in Cagle and will deal with it head on and do well.

GAWire June 29, 2006 at 12:56 pm

Debbie thinks that the poll numbers for Taylor do not look good, but can’t see how the numbers/trends in the LG race look bad for Reed.

B-L-I-N-D & Baffling …

SOUTHERNCOMFORT June 29, 2006 at 1:12 pm

Debbie your boy has never dealt head on with anything but taking little old ladies money through deception and greed he’s a pencil neck coward and like I have stated before there is a special hell for the likes of Reed, Jimmy Swaggart and the others that use Christianty for self profit

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 1:29 pm

Wire,
If Cagle was telling the truth (doubtful) he has lost about 10 points since the end of May. Who is this trend bad for? Duh!

Bull Moose June 29, 2006 at 1:36 pm

OKAY — HOW LONG CAN RALPH CONTINUE TO ATTACK THE REPUBLICAN CAUCUS BEFORE SOMEONE COMES OUT AND CALLS BS???

I mean, he’s attacking every single Republican State Senator now. Is this party building? Is this constructive?

No.

I’m sorry, but Senator Eric Johnson and Senator Tommie Williams, I believe you need to step forward, endorse Casey and put Ralph Reed in his place on behalf of the Republican Senate Caucus and the good people of Georgia.

SOUTHERNCOMFORT June 29, 2006 at 1:36 pm

billb you all keep thinking you’re ahead ask Ralphie about his poll he knows he’s behind and he’s throwing all shots in hopes of stemming the tide ask him, the number is 9%.

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 1:47 pm

And the lies continue…

If the Cagle poll was true he has lost 10 points since the end of May. Or that poll was a lie (like the Cagle press releases have all been) and he’s still behind Reed.

9% – no matter how often you repeat it doesn’t make it true.

HSC Republican June 29, 2006 at 2:57 pm

Sen Williams has endorsed Casey

Bull Moose June 29, 2006 at 3:03 pm

I just got this piece of trash in the mail from Ralph… What a money laundering sack of scum he is to twist around words and distort the facts the way that he did…

There is nothing Christian about this man. He lies, he launders, what’s next?

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 5:59 pm

Next? Kicks Cagle’s ass. Why do you ask?

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 6:02 pm

And still no comment about the fact that the Cagle campaign has been promoting a poll that showed Cagle with a 6 point lead. The ONLY poll to show that. Now, the latest poll shows him 4 points down. That’s 10 points in less than a month!

Or was the poll showing Cagle ahead a lie?

The problem for the Cagleites is the constant lying and spin. Either their boy lost 10 points or their poll they went on and on about was a lie. Either way, it lets the average voter know how the Cagle team operates.

Bill B. June 29, 2006 at 10:22 pm

And the blog goes silent… :)

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