Dana reports on the Lt. Governor debate among Democratic candidates last night in Druid Hills.
I was not there, but here is my take. People are discounting the effect of Steen Miles. The theory is that Mark Taylor asked her to be in the Lt. Governor race because he believes that a higher turnout of black voters will be good news for him.
Based on Denise Majette’s 2004 perfomance in the Democratic Primary for the U.S. Senate, I believe that if the black vote is solidly behind Miles, she’s got a solid 40% of the Democratic Primary. That leaves the other 4 Democratic candidates (Hecht, Lotson, Martin and Terril) to fight it out over the rest of the vote. In other words, there will inevitably be a runoff in this race.
Who will be that candidate to face off against Miles in the runoff? Hecht and Martin are obviously the front-runners. My suspicion is that the “Steen Miles effect” will hurt Martin (since he’s the metro Atlanta candidate) more than it will Hecht. Thoughts?