Lest we get any more emails from Reedites saying we are Cagleites (we already get Cagleites saying we are Reedites), let me add some fuel to the fire.
A friend who wishes to remain anonymous (probably because of the invective about to be hurled) sends along this pro-Reed email.
You can read it below the fold.
I’ve been watching the candor and discussion on this site for quite some time, and it never ceases to amaze me at some of the things that are said. I’d like to offer my judgment on the Lt. Governor’s race in Georgia. Simply as a quantitative statement of where things rest right now, not as an endorsement of either candidate, nor as a statement of who I may choose to support, because right now, I’m undecided. However, I also believe there are certain principles that play into politics that cannot, and will not change. I suppose after Erick posts this, I’ll be attacked and accused of being a RR Koolaid drinker. Therefore, in my contention that RR will (though perhaps not should) win this race, I challenge each of you to answer my arguments with logic and tact, though, based of my past reading of this site, will be impossible for some of you. There are several areas in which I see CC CC in a sever losing pattern.
Campaign Direction and Message – RR. Right now, CC faces a critical choice in deciding which direction to take with his message. A, he can continue down a negative path and continue to attack RR, relying on the free media the AJC’s brainchild pimps to him every day, as he has done for the past 6 – 8 months. At that juncture, all RR has to do is point that out, and convince the voters that CC stands for nothing except the fact that CC isn’t RR. B, CC can change directions, piss the AJC off, and stop attacking RR, an indirect admission that either his negative campaign was wrong, or that it wasn’t working. At this point, he begins to do what he should have done three months ago: start talking about the CC agenda, the CC vision, and why he’s the best man for the job. However, this forces him into another losing situation, because a head to head on the issues between RR and CC results in a loss for CC, both in the press and to the public. I have heard numerous CC supporters admit to the fact that RR possesses both a superior grasp of the issues and a better presentation of such.
Campaign Focus – RR. For the last six months, CC has concentrated primarily on one thing: attacking RR and making sure everyone knows how awful RR is. Not even considering the merits of that argument, which actually could prove to be quite substantial, this was a serious tactical error in that they haven’t taken any time to stop and try to organize any sort of grassroots outside metro Atlanta. Why? It’s public, though perhaps not so common, knowledge that both of the key players driving CC’s machine believe that statewide races in Georgia are won in the media, inside metro Atlanta. Which presents CC with yet another key problem: cash flow.
Cash Flow – RR. When one looks at the disclosures of the respective candidates, one may see that RR has about 300k committed to the general election, and CC has about 200k committed to the general. This places RR’s running cash balance at roughly 1.1 million, and CC’s running cash balance at roughly 675k. Thus, not only does RR have just short of twice the capital as does CC, he has a significantly slower burn rate. CC is paying his GC 10k a month, his campaign manager 5k a month, and his press director 3500 a month. That in and of itself is almost 20k a month in staff salaries. If you consider expenses and the salaries of the lesser staffers, it’s pretty logical to assume that his staff expenses are running close to 25k a month, not to mention other expenses: postage, office overhead, paying his media consulting group, hotels, travel, meals, signs, t-shirts, balloons…perhaps this cash flow issue is the reason the CC campaign sent out an email yesterday requesting donation of two desktop computers. My question is this: why do they not already have them? Or did they have them, and now they don’t? Why don’t they just buy them? If they can raise 100k in a day, why couldn’t they afford $1,500 worth of computers? They’ll raise 75 times that Wednesday of next week, right? Folks, only a real stupid Koolaider would believe that those donations just surfaced in a day. You can bet your last dollar that CC’s staff had been accepting those “pledges