According to a Strategic Visions poll, Governor Perdue would beat Cathy Cox 51-45 with 4% undecided and Mark Taylor 52-40 with 8% undecided. I’m told that those numbers track closely to more detailed internal polling by Perdue and one of the Democrats.
Additionally, the same poll found that 58% of Georgians think we are on the right track.
Lastly, the poll found that among Republicans Reed leads Cagle 48-35. More interesting, Reed has a 54-36 favorable-unfavorable rating and Cagle has a 37-12 favorable-unfavorable rating. The Cagle campaign had seemed content to keep all the attention on Reed and his casino money problems. But, with this latest poll out, perhaps the Cagle campaign will begin shifting gears. However, with almost a year left, it might actually be wise for Cagle to continue raising money without expending large sums now and see where the Abramoff investigation will head once Congress gets back to it.
Is the public paying attention to the Abramoff story and its implications on Reed? Probably not. And if they are, I don’t know that they really understand it. It seems clear that though the AJC has thrown almost everything they have at Reed — was that a sink I just saw fly by — it has not dented Reed significantly among the GOP. But, and it is a huge but, I wonder what impact the coverage has had with general election only and swing voters.
[UPDATE] A friend calls to point out that, while I should be encouraged that Sonny is over 51%, we should not treat is as good news for him. There is a year to go and lots of money to be spent and he is barely over 50%. But, given the economy, the lack of media attention on the Governor personally, etc., I think it is pretty good news for him. While the GOP is writing him off, a majority of the state would vote to re-elect him. Well done.